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Q2 2008 Software Mergers and Acquisitions: Showing a Healthy Trend continued... page 2 Public Internet Company Performance Though the software and Internet/ecommerce/Web 2.0 sectors are rapidly converging, clear distinctions remain between the two in terms of business model, revenue model, solution deployment and end user requirements. We've opted for the time being to track these major categories separately to enable a more granular analysis of each. In addition, the SEG Internet Index has been expanded by more than 40 companies in 2008, in order to allow a more robust analysis of this segment and its subsectors. Broadly defined, Internet companies are primarily internet based and their solutions are primarily - often exclusively - web deployed. Our Internet Index is comprised of companies whose principal business models fall within one or more of the following categories:
![]() The 62 companies comprising the SEG Internet Index have experienced slightly higher levels of market volatility year-to-date than companies comprising the Dow, NASDAQ, S&P 500 and SEG Software indices (Figure 3). The median 2Q08 EV/TTM revenue multiple for public Internet companies was 1.6x, while median EV/EBITDA and EV/Earnings were 13.8x and 24.0x, respectively (Figure 15). The median current ratio, measured as current assets divided by current liabilities, an indication of a company’s liquidity, was 2.3, down from 2.8 in 1Q08. Perhaps as a result, these 62 companies saw their median cash and equivalents decrease by $10 million in 2Q08. Median 2Q08 revenue for SEG Internet Index companies increased 17.1% from 2Q07, while median valuation, measured by EV/Revenue, has decreased from 2.8x in 2Q07 to 1.6x in 2Q08, perhaps signaling investor concerns about reduced consumer internet spending.
![]() Displaying profound optimism in the face
of overwhelming odds, four software companies filed
S-1’s in 2Q08: rm and Open Link
Financial. To their credit, three of the four are
profitable, with only Gomez (SaaS) in the red. Of the
seven software companies that have filed S-1s in 1H08,
six of the seven are profitable. This marks a stark
contrast to 4Q07, when only one of the five software
companies that filed was profitable and only three of
twelve companies in the IPO pipeline were profitable. We
expect investors, who have historically shown a decided
preference for profitability over growth in bear
markets, will be receptive to these aspiring public
market entrants, provided they maintain solid earnings
and noteworthy growth. ![]() Mergers and Acquisitions: The Numbers
M&A deal volume and M&A spending in North America were virtually flat in 2Q08, compared to 1Q08. The second quarter’s 1,984 deals aggregated $192 billion, on par with 1Q08’s 2,084 deals worth $182.9B billion, but down precipitously from the same period a year ago when 2,464 deals, worth a whopping $470.3 billion, were posted (Figure 18). Worldwide, 2Q08’s tally of 8,946 deals was in line with 2Q07, but the aggregate price tag fell 37% to $940 billion, according to Dealogic. The lack of private equity investment in 2Q08 was one key culprit for the year-over-year decline in dollars spent at home and abroad. Domestic and worldwide private-equity dollars spent fell 89% to $23.2 billion and 82% to $61.5 billion in 2Q08, respectively and also helped to push 2Q08 European dollars spent down year-over-year 59% to $274.4 billion. Asian activity, however, remained largely unaffected, posting a year-over-year 57% increase in 2Q08 dollars spent to $206.8 billion (excluding Japan).
Software M&A Deal Volume and Spending ![]()
Small and mid-market software M&A activity (transactions with enterprise values less than $500 million)
continued to comprise the bulk of transactions, with buyers laser focused on highly strategic tuck-ins and
bolt-ons. Of the quarter’s 379 software mergers and acquisitions, 376 (99%) were small and mid-market
transactions that aggregated $4.8 billion. By comparison, there were 373 (98%) small and mid-cap
transactions worth $10.8 billion in 1Q08 and 401 (98%) transactions totaling $6.8 billion in 2Q07.
The average small and mid-cap transaction size was approximately $12.8 million in Q2, a significant decline
from the $28.8 million average in 1Q08 and $16.9 million average in 2Q07.
The takeaway: Software company buyers remained acquisitive in Q2, but pulled tightly on their purse strings.
It is important to note, however, the number of small- and mid-market transactions did not erode,
as buyers continue to innovate through acquisition.
![]() Assuming macroeconomic weakness persists, we expect a moderate increase in the percentage of all-cash deals through the latter half of 2008. ![]() We attribute this to continued stock
market instability. Despite solid financial
performance, publicly traded software companies have
continued to see their stock prices erode, providing
value investment opportunities for both strategic
and financial acquirers.
To provide additional granularity, we sliced the median 2Q08 revenue valuation software M&A multiple horizontally and vertically, segregating vertical market software company sellers (e.g. retail, financial services, telecom, manufacturing, etc.) from sellers with horizontal software solutions (infrastructure, enterprise applications, etc.) ![]() In the second quarter, vertical market solution providers accounted for 36% (Figure 25) of all software M&A transactions and received a whopping 2.7x TTM revenue exit valuation (Figure 26), up from 2.1x in 2Q07 (the only other quarter in which vertical solution providers received greater valuations than their horizontal counterparts), while horizontal solution providers comprised 64% of sellers and commanded a median 1.5x TTM revenue valuation (2.0x in 2Q07). Vertical seller valuations were buoyed in the second quarter by a handful of financial public to private vertical transactions including Great Hill Partners acquisition of CAM Commerce ($151.4 million, 4.1x TTM revenue), Capita Group’s acquisition of IBS OPEN Systems ($115.8M, 2.8x TTM revenue), Apax Partner’s acquisition of The Trizetto Group ($1.3 billion, 2.8x TTM revenue) ![]() ![]()
and JMI Equity/The Carlyle Group’s acquisition of Gemcom
($139.4 million, 2.6x TTM revenue). Additionally, VC’s exited
several providers of vertical solutions for substantial multiples in
the second quarter, including CCC Information Services Group’s
acquisition of Mitchell Enterprises ($1.4 billion, 7.0x TTM revenue)
and FTI Consulting’s acquisition of Attenex ($88 million, 3.5x TTM
revenue). The healthcare, financial services, public sector and
legal industries were the most active software M&A verticals in
2Q08, accounting for 16%, 14%, 6% and 5%, respectively, of all
vertical transactions (Figure 27). We’ve repeatedly demonstrated in prior SEG Quarterly Reports that three of the most important determinants of exit valuation are the seller’s equity structure, size and product category (Figures 28 & 29). We analyzed all M&A transactions over the last twelve months with ascertainable revenue multiples to determine the individual impact on valuation of equity structure (private vs. public company), size (revenue) of buyer and seller and the seller’s software product category. As a first step, we sorted 1H08’s transactions by separating public and private software company ‘sellers’ to ascertain any difference in median exit valuation. In our 2007 Annual and 1Q08 reports, we noted that undervalued public sellers had been picked clean by strategic and financial acquirers, forcing buyers to pony up substantially greater sums of cash for financially healthier public targets. Consequently, public sellers commanded a median exit multiple of 3.0x TTM revenue in 2007 and 3.2x TTM revenue in 1Q08, while private sellers received a median 2.1x TTM revenue in 2007 and 2.0x TTM in 1Q08. In 2Q08, however, public company sellers received a modest 2.1x TTM revenue multiple, virtually the same as the median 2.0x TTM exit valuation paid their privately held counterparts. Why the retreat in median exit valuations for public sellers? First, falling stock prices have resulted in markedly lower valuations for many public software companies. Second, we were wrong in noting a dearth of undervalued, underperforming public software companies. Strategic acquirers found and scooped up several in Q2 including Kintera, acquired by BlackBaud’s (1.0x TTM revenue valuation, seller reporting 2.9% TTM revenue growth); NetManage, acquired by MicroFocus (1.2x TTM revenue valuation, seller reporting 7.1% TTM revenue growth); Iona Technologies, acquired by Progress Software (1.4x TTM revenue valuation, seller reporting 2.8% TTM revenue growth); and Insightful, purchased by Tibco (0.7x TTM revenue valuation, seller reporting -14.7% TTM revenue growth). ![]() As in prior quarters, there was a direct correlation in 2Q08 between public seller exit valuation and revenue growth rate. Public software company sellers that garnered better than 2.0x TTM revenue generated median TTM revenue growth of 15.9%. Conversely, public company sellers with an exit valuation less than 2.0x TTM revenue a median growth rate of 7.9%. Unsurprisingly, revenue growth continues to be a key determinant of a public software company’s exit valuation. ![]()
As a next step in our analysis, we separated public and private software company ‘buyers’ to ascertain any difference in median purchase price paid. In transactions where an exit valuation multiple was ascertainable, private buyers (both strategic and private equity), comprised 25% of all software company acquirers year-to-date and paid a median M&A price of 1.9x TTM. By contrast, public software companies comprised 75% of these transactions and paid a median purchase price of 2.1x TTM. Finally, we analyzed 1H08 exit valuations based upon the size (revenue) of buyer and seller. As in prior years, buyer size was a key determinant of exit valuation. Buyers with revenue greater than $200 million paid a median purchase price of 2.8x seller’s TTM revenue, while buyers with revenue less than $200 million paid median 1.9 x TTM revenue. ![]() ![]()
SaaS This report was prepared by Software Equity Group, L.L.C. (SEG), a mergers and acquisitions advisory firm, which analyzes software industry public company stock market performance, initial public offerings, mergers and acquisitions as well as venture capital and private equity placements. SEG was founded in 1992 and has represented and guided private companies throughout North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Africa and Israel. They represent some of the world’s leading private equity firms and have advised public companies listed on the NASDAQ, NYSE, American, Toronto, London and Euronext exchanges. For more, please visit www.softwareequity.com. |
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